Rochester homicides at the lowest point in 20 years

Mar 7, 2019

If you look at a graph of the number of homicides in Rochester in the last decade, it looks like a roller coaster: 42 in 2008, 28 in 2009, and 41 in 2010.

Rochester Homicides per 100,000 residents over the last two decades
Credit Center for Public Safety Initiatives

It kept going up and down until two years ago, when for the first time in more than two decades, the city’s homicide rate stayed below 30 in consecutive years. That’s nearly half the 20 year high in 2003.

The data is from a recent study from Irshad Altheimer, who is the director the Center for Public Safety Initiatives at Rochester Institute of Technology. He says Rochester’s decline isn’t universal.

“From 1993 to the early 2000s we consistently saw decreases in most parts of the country,” said Altheimer. “Over the last 5 to 10 years it’s been some divergence with certain cities having increases and certain cities having decreases.”

So what’s causing Rochester’s decline? Mayor Lovely Warren credits increased community engagement and programs like Pathways to Peace and says one factor is the Rochester Police Department’s focus on efficiency.

“In my estimation, is that we did something different by letting the data drive our decision making and that data has helped us make better decisions on behalf of our citizens, but also give our citizens a better view of what our police department does on a daily basis,” said Warren.

Altheimer agrees that Rochester’s crime prevention efforts and better trauma care could play roles in the dropping rate.

“It’s hard to tie particular programs to year to year fluctuations so usually we try to look at two or three years or compare different cities over time and see what particular interventions affect outcomes across those cities.”

So far this year, there have been five homicides in the City of Rochester.

See the report below:

Roc Homicide Statistics 2018 by WXXI News on Scribd